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លោកសម-រង្ស៊ីធ្វើអោយពិភពលោកផ្អើលម្តងទៀត៩វិច្ឆិកា២០១៩
យើងទាំងអស់គ្នានៅចាំបានកាលពីមាតុភូមិនិវត្សន៍របស់លោកសម-រង្ស៊ីកាលពីថ្ងៃទី១៩ ខែកក្កដា ឆ្នាំ២០១៣ ដែលនៅពេលនោះមានប្រជាពលរដ្ឋច្រើនដល់លាននាក់នៅទីក្រុងភ្នំពេញជាពិសេសក្នុងចំណោមយុវជន-យុវតីបានចេញមកទទួលនិងហែរហមគាត់ពីព្រលានយន្តហោះទៅដល់ទីស្នាក់ការគណបក្សសង្គ្រោះជាតិ។ អ្នកតាមដានស្ថានការណ៍សង្កេតឃើញថាប្រជាប្រីយភាពដ៏លើសលប់របស់លោកនៅពេលនោះគឺមកពីលោកជាអ្នកនយោបាយឈរលើសច្ចភាពទៀងត្រង់ក្នុងការនាំមកនូវលទ្ធិប្រជាធិបតេយ្យពិតប្រាកដជូនដល់ប្រជាពលរដ្ឋខ្មែរ។ ហើយអ្វីដែលធ្វើអោយមនុស្សម្នារអ្នកគាំទ្រដ៏ច្រើនលើសលប់ចេញមកទទួលនៅពេលនោះគឺបណ្តាលមករដ្ឋាភិបាលក្រោមការដឹកនាំរបស់លោកហ៊ុន-សែនបានតាមបៀតបៀនដល់លោកសម-រង្ស៊ីមិនចេះចប់មិនចេះហើយជាពិសេសមានដីកាតុលាការរាប់មិនអស់ដែលតុលាការកម្ពុជាមានឈ្មោះអាក្រក់ខាងកាត់ក្តីគ្មានយុត្តិធម៌។ ក្នុងចំណោមដីកាតុលាការទាំងនោះ ការចោទប្រកាន់ទៅលើលោកសម-រង្ស៊ីរឿងដកបង្គោលព្រំដែននិងបំផ្លាញមិត្តភាពរបស់រដ្ឋាភិបាលកម្ពុជាជាមួយវៀតណាមគឺជារលកដំបូងនាំទៅរករលកស៊ូណាមីនាពេលនោះ។
ព្រឹត្តការណ៍៩វិច្ឆិកា២០១៩ខាងមុខនេះ មានភាពឡូសុិក(logic)ជាងឆ្នាំ២០១៣ទៅទៀត។ ការលាលែងពីតំណែងជាប្រធានបក្សរបស់លោកសម-រង្សុី ត្រូវបានគេមើលឃើញថាជាទង្វើគំរូប្រកបដោយការលៈបង់ខ្ពស់របស់លោកក្នុងការរក្សាគណបក្សសង្គ្រោះជាតិអោយមានដំណើរការជាប្រក្រតីភាព។ ប៉ុន្តែការចាប់ចងលោកកឹម-សុខា ដែលជាប្រធានបក្សបន្តវេន រួចរំលាយគណបក្សសង្គ្រោះជាតិទាំងមិនទាន់បានរកកំហុសនិងកាត់ទោសលោកកឹម-សុខាផងនោះរឹតតែធ្វើអោយសមាជិកបក្សដែលបោះឆ្នោតអោយជាង៣លាននាក់នៅមិនអស់ចិត្តសោះ។
ការវិលត្រឡប់មកវិញរបស់លោកសម-រង្សុីក្នុងនាមជាប្រធានស្តីទីរបស់គណបក្សសង្គ្រោះជាតិនិងដំណើរវិវឌ្ឍន៍ទៅមាតុប្រទេសវិញដើម្បីស្រោចស្រង់គណបក្សមួយនេះ ជារឿងមួយធ្វើអោយអ្នកគាំទ្របក្សនេះពាក់កណ្តាលប្រទេសមានភាពថប់ដង្ហើមមិនអាចលាក់ខ្លួនបំពួនអាត្មាក្នុងការមិនចេញមកទទួលលោកសម-រង្សុីដោយអហឹង្សាបានឡើយ។
ចំណែកលោកហ៊ុន-សែនវិញ អ្នកតាមដានស្ថានការណ៍សង្កេតឃើញថា ដើរខុសច្រើនអន្លើរដោយសារតែអំនួតនិងមោហៈបាំងលុះដោយការស្រេកឃ្លានអំណាចគ្មានទីបញ្ចប់។ ជំនួសអោយការទទួលស្គាល់ការពិតពីការថយចុះយ៉ាងគំហុកនៃប្រជាប្រីយភាពក្រោមការដឹកនាំរបស់ខ្លួនជាង៣០ឆ្នាំ រួចប្រកាសខ្លួនចូលរឺត្រែតក្លាយខ្លួនជារដ្ឋបុរស(statesman)ម្នាក់ ហ៊ុនសែនបែរប្រើល្បិចពិសពុលប្រកាសសត្រូវជាមួយប្រជាពលរដ្ឋខ្លួនជិតពាក់កណ្តាលនគរដែលបោះឆ្នោតអោយគណបក្សសង្គ្រោះជាតិដោយចាប់មេដឹកនាំពួកគេដាក់ឃុំឃាំងក្នុងបទចោទក្លែងក្លាយ រំលាយគណបក្សមួយនេះមានបទចោទដោយសាលដីកាតុលាការកំពូលដោយគ្មានមូលដ្ឋានច្បាប់ពិតប្រាកដនិងបិទផ្លូវតវ៉ា ដកកៅអីតំណាងរាស្ត្រទាំង៥៥ចេញព្រមទាំងក្រុមប្រឹក្សាឃុំ-សង្កាត់ទាំង៥០០៧នាក់ដែលប្រជាជនពលរដ្ឋបោះឆ្នោតអោយ យកមកអោយមនុស្សដែលមានស្វាមីភក្តិជាមួយខ្លួនវិញ។
មិនមែនគ្រាន់តែរំលោភទៅលើរដ្ឋធម្មនុញ្ញ រំលោភអំណាច និងប្រកាសជាសត្រូវជាមួយប្រជាពលរដ្ឋខ្លួនឯងប៉ុណ្ណោះទេ ហ៊ុន-សែនហ៊ានធ្វើសម្បទានគ្រប់បែបយ៉ាងនៅពេលខ្លួនកំពុងមានអំណាចដូចជាសម្បទានល្អជាអាក្រក់ដោយការពារនិងតំឡើងបុណ្យសក្កិពួកជនទុច្ចរិត-ឃាតករ-ចោរជាដើម សម្បទានអោយចិនអាចប្រើប្រាស់ដីខ្មែរបានយ៉ាងសេរី និងសម្បទាយួនរឿងបោះបង្គោលព្រំដែនជាដើម។ល។និង។ល។ ហ៊ុន-សែនហ៊ានសម្បទានគ្រប់បែបយ៉ាងអោយជននិងប្រទេសណាដែលហ៊ានជួយការពារអំណាចគាត់កំឡុងពេលផុយស្រួយនៃអំណាចខ្លួនសព្វថ្ងៃនេះ។
លទ្ធផលពីនយោបាយហក់ចូលក្នុងឆ្នាំងដំាទឹកពុះរបស់ហ៊ុន-សែននាពេលនេះគឺ លោកសម-រង្ស៊ីប្រកាសប្រើអំណាចប្រជាជន(people power)និងកៀរគរអ្នកស្នេហាជាតិពិតប្រាកដក្នុងជួរគណបក្សប្រជាជនដែលកំពុងមិនពេញចិត្តលោកហ៊ុន-សែនស្រាប់ ក៏ដូចជាចូលទៅរំដោះព្រះមហាក្សត្រពីការគាបសង្កត់ពីហ៊ុន-សែន រំដោះកម្ពុជាពីចិន-យួន ការពារអ៊ីប៊ីអេ(EBA)និងជីអេសស្ទី(GST) និងស្តារនីតិរដ្ឋក៏ដូចជាលទ្ធិប្រជាធិបតេយ្យឡើងវិញស្របតាមរដ្ឋធម្មនុញ្ញនិងកិច្ចព្រមព្រៀងសន្តិភាពទីក្រុងប៉ារីស។ មកដល់ថ្ងៃនេះ ក្រោមសំពាធពីប្រជាពលរដ្ឋពេញនគរ អង្គការសហប្រជាជាតិនិងពិភពលោកទាំងមូល ចិន-យួនអាចដោះដៃចេញពីហ៊ុន-សែន នៅពេលពួកគេបានទទួលសម្បទានពីហ៊ុន-សែនរួចរាល់ ហើយមិនចង់ប្រឈមជាមួយកំឡាំងប្រជាពលរដ្ឋខ្មែរនិងពិភពលោកទាំងមូល។
A new ‘Trump Doctrine’ could start with Cambodia
This is not a paper “war game.” America’s military has already considered this hypothetical, and has bombed its enemies on Cambodian soil once before. This time the objective would be to remove China’s military from Southeast Asia, and more broadly the Indo-Pacific, which includes the South China Sea. A collateral effect of bombing Cambodia could be changes in power which non-violent measures, like sanctions, could not effect. America would “kill two birds with one stone.”
នេះមិនមែនជាសំណេរហ្គេមសង្រ្គាមទេ។ ទ័ពអាមេរិកធ្លាប់ពិចារណាលើការសន្និដ្ឋាននេះ ហើយបានទំលាក់គ្រាប់បែកទៅលើសត្រូវរបស់ខ្លួននៅលើទឹកដីកម្ពុជាម្តងពីមុន។ ពេលនេះ គោលបំណងគឺដើម្បីរំលាយទ័ពចិនចេញពីតំបន់អាស៊ីអាគ្នេយ៌ ដែលរួមបច្ចូលទាំងមហាសមុទ្រចិនខាងត្បូង។ ផលពីទង្វើនៃការទំលាក់គ្រាប់បែកលើទឹកដីកម្ពុជាអាចធ្វើអោយមានការផ្លាស់ប្តូរប៉ូលអំណាច នៅពេលដែលវិធានការអហឹង្សានានាដូចជាការដាក់ទណ្ឌកម្មគ្មានប្រសិទ្ធិភាព។ អាមេរិកនឹងសំឡាប់បានសត្វពីរព្រួញមួយពេលនេះ។
A new ‘Trump Doctrine’ could start with Cambodia
Op-Ed: Asia Time, By CHRISTOPHER BERES
Picture this: Somewhere in the South China Sea, which China claims as its own, a Chinese warship confronts a Philippine warship or, maybe it’s vice versa, and shots are exchanged. It doesn’t matter which warship fired first. The fight is on and the Philippines’ warship is soon joined by American warships that come to the aid of their treaty ally. China marshals its resources, calling more of its warships to join the fight.
China’s military, which has clandestine facilities in Cambodia, ostensibly for the “repair and maintenance of its warships and jet fighters,” is ready to perform its support functions. The Chinese have prepared for this eventuality, but so too have the Americans. Rather than bomb mainland China, which could escalate the territorial dispute into a world war, America bombs China’s military facilities in Cambodia and, while at the task, bombs Cambodia’s military facilities as well. After all, Cambodia is not merely China’s friend, it’s China’s military ally.
This is not a paper “war game.” America’s military has already considered this hypothetical, and has bombed its enemies on Cambodian soil once before. This time the objective would be to remove China’s military from Southeast Asia, and more broadly the Indo-Pacific, which includes the South China Sea. A collateral effect of bombing Cambodia could be changes in power which non-violent measures, like sanctions, could not effect. America would “kill two birds with one stone.”
Reality is also fraught with peril. The US is engaged in a cold war with China. China is militarizing the South China Sea. Cambodia supports China’s claims to the South China Sea. The US believes Cambodia will permit China to position troops on its territory. China provides Cambodia with nearly all of its military assistance and small arms. Cambodia has had little choice but to engage China because of the historical threat and domestically unpopular land grabs from Vietnam to its east. The Philippines’ admiralty would also like to drag the US into a fight with China. America views China as a threat to the post-World War II status quo in Asia in which the US has heretofore been pre-eminent.
And while the Cambodian government has many US-educated leaders who could be pro-US, America has not played this card to improve its relationship with Cambodia, apparently having embarked on a course of non-violent measures to punish Cambodia.
Cambodia has been unfairly subject to a punitive US foreign policy for a long time. However, America’s policy could become more interventionist in order to counter China’s possible militarization of Cambodia
Cambodia has been unfairly subject to a punitive US foreign policy for a long time. However, America’s policy could become more interventionist in order to counter China’s possible militarization of Cambodia.
The US should engage with Cambodia as an ally, do business with it, and try to influence its actions with respect to China. The carrot is better than a stick that has not worked.
The US Congress’ current policy seeks to sanction Cambodia’s leaders, to deny Cambodia access to loans from international financial institutions, to withdraw Cambodia’s trade preferences, and to elevate a defunct opposition party to the status of the legitimate government of Cambodia. President Donald Trump has appointed a new ambassador to Cambodia whose self-professed mission is to promote democracy and human rights and work with Congress to punish Cambodia. In this context, America is in effect not willing to work with the long-standing de jure government in Phnom Penh.
Unfortunately, the United States’ experience with China over the last 30 years since Deng Xiaoping’s gaige kaifang (the “Four Modernizations”) has been that over time with economic development China has not become more open but more closed and militaristic. Cambodia is open and democratic and needs friendship from a democratic partner in the West.
America’s real objective in Cambodia is not a secret and has nothing to do with freeing Kem Sokha or reviving the Cambodia National Rescue Party; rather, it is to contain China to protect America’s legitimate national-security interests. Certainly, Cambodia also has its own national-security interests to protect vis-a-vis China.
It is in both America’s and Cambodia’s best interest to negotiate a deal to contain China.
As a gesture of goodwill, the US might consider forgiving Cambodia’s war debt, which totals around US$500 million, in the amount of $50 million for every year over the next 10 years. The cost to America’s national security should China gain a military foothold in Cambodia would be much greater than $500 million.
As for Cambodia, it must know that the US is a better strategic ally than China, one that does not have the same “hidden agenda.”
A new “Trump Doctrine” for Cambodia and other parts of Southeast Asia would enable the US president to apply “the art of the deal” to disrupting the current unsuccessful US policy in the region. The Trump Doctrine would extend the Monroe Doctrine to be “the doctrine of the world” and “upset the applecart” of the failed policies of the past. As with his bipartisan consensus trade policy toward China, the goal would be to end China’s aggression in the region permanently.Asia Times is not responsible for the opinions, facts or any media content presented by contributors. In case of abuse, click here to report.
Christopher Beres is a lawyer who has represented Cambodia in international litigation. He holds a master’s degree in East Asian Studies from the University of Pennsylvania.
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nullការសាងសង់អាកាសយាន្ដដ្ឋានអន្តរជាតិមួយដោយក្រុមហ៊ុនចិនក្នុងតំបន់តារាសាគរបង្កើតឱ្យមានការព្រួយបារម្ភ
គោលបំណងរបស់ក្រុមហ៊ុននេះ គឺសាងសង់ទីក្រុងដ៏ធំថ្មីមួយរបស់កម្ពុជានៅទីនេះ ដោយមានទីក្រុងលំហែកាយជាប់ឆ្នេរសមុទ្រ សណ្ឋាគារប្រណិតៗ និងផ្ទះវីឡា សួនឧស្សាហ៍កម្ម ស្ថានីយថាមពល រោងចក្រចម្រាញ់ទឹកស្អាត និងអាគារសុខាភិបាលជាដើម។ខេត្តកោះកុង —
Read More …Letter to Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong of Singapore
Dear Mr. Lee;
Just your word to last tribute to the death of your friend, Cambodian incumbent authoritative and illegitimate leaders, both elders and youngs, have come out to denounce you. As I am younger generation, Cambodia is shameful by those irrational leaders who are very defensive, conservative, and radical in protecting foreigner like Vietnam. When they come out to denounce your statement about past invasion of Vietnam into Cambodia’s soil, it is not different from anti-national interests, anti-national constitution, and anti- the will of Cambodian people.
The CPP has been astute in their defending the action of Vietnam’s presence in Cambodia by claiming such action as liberation, not invasion…hence, their claim has resulted of losing support from Cambodian voters until they have decisively turned to use mean of last resort to renew power by using the Supreme Court to dissolve the Cambodia National Rescue Party (CNRP) without having credible legal cause. By this gross act against the will of Cambodian people, CPP under Hun Sen leadership has likely changed to the Khmer Rouge leadership style by turning back on their own people or Westerners called “Enemy of the People”. Such heretic and paranoid power thirst, history of atrocity and crime against humanity would be possibly repeated itself.
There are also weirdest reaction from youngsters of those elites of Cambodia. They came out to denounce your statement and praise the Vietnamese. Those youngsters have been really domesticated by their elders to conduct “outward” policy towards foreigner such as Vietnam at the expenses of Cambodia’s interests. Those youngsters are believably groomed by corruption, entitlement and wealth without carrying basic humanity such as social justice, code of ethics, integrity, professionalism, and hard working to leapfrog from the incumbent political behaviour of division and serving foreign’s interests. Sometime, their graduation from Western sphere is just a brand to continually manipulate Cambodian public as their mindset and political behaviour are at the same baseline of their parents.
Sincerely yours,
Sophoan Seng